非线性和多周期滞后对巴苏测度的影响

Chi-Chun Liu, Chun-Yang Lin
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摘要

本文考察了会计确认的两个属性,即非线性和多期滞后对Basu(1997)不对称时效性度量的影响。首先,我们预测并发现非对称时效性受到非线性盈余反应的影响,并且在绝对规模较大的新闻发生时更为明显。结果还表明,非对称时效性的时间趋势可能被非线性混淆。接下来,我们研究了对好消息和坏消息的滞后收益反应,并假设在当前和足够短的后续时期存在积极的差异收益反应,表明差异收益反应不仅同时存在。我们还预测差异收益反应变为负值,显示正的差异收益反应随着滞后的增加而逆转。此外,我们假设差异收益反应随着滞后的增加而衰减。实证结果与我们的预期一致。我们的结果对模型或样本规格的几个变化具有鲁棒性。在我们的研究中也提供了在考虑非线性和多周期滞后时比较保守性程度的可能方法。总的来说,我们的实证结果表明,为了更有效地衡量稳健性,应考虑盈余反应和多期盈余反应的非线性,而不是单期不对称时效性度量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Effects of Nonlinearity and Multi-Period Lags on Basu (1997) Measure
This paper examines the impacts of two attributes of accounting recognition, i.e., nonlinearity and multi-period lags, on Basu (1997) measure of asymmetric timeliness. First, we predict and find that asymmetric timeliness is affected by nonlinear earnings responses and more pronounced when news of large absolute magnitudes occurs. Results also show that the time trend in asymmetric timeliness may be confounded by nonlinearity. Next, we examine lagged earnings responses to good news and bad news and hypothesize that positive differential earnings responses exist in the current and sufficiently short following periods, indicating differential earnings responses do not only exist concurrently. We also predict differential earnings responses turn negative, showing positive differential earnings responses reverse as lag increases. Besides, we hypothesize that differential earnings responses decay as lag increases. Empirical results are all consistent with our expectations. Our results are robust to several changes in model or sample specifications. Possible methods to compare the extents of conservatism when considering nonlinearity and multi-period lags are also provided in our study. Collectively, our empirical results suggest that nonlinearity in earnings responses and multi-period earnings responses rather than a single-period asymmetric timeliness measure should be considered to measure conservatism more validly.
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