为什么Dempster的融合规则不是Bayes融合规则的推广

J. Dezert, A. Tchamova, Deqiang Han, J. Tacnet
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引用次数: 12

摘要

本文从融合的角度详细分析了Bayes融合规则,以及Shafer在《基于信念函数的证据数学理论》中引入的具有象征意义的Dempster组合规则。我们提出了贝叶斯规则的一个新的有趣的表述,并指出了它的一些性质。深入分析了Dempster融合规则与Bayes融合规则的兼容性。我们证明了Dempster规则与Bayes融合规则只有在非常特殊的情况下才兼容,即要组合的基本信念分配(bba)是贝叶斯的,并且当先验信息是由均匀概率度量建模的,或者是由真空bba建模的。我们清楚地表明,在更一般的情况下,当先验是真正有信息量的(不是一致的,也不是空洞的),Dempster规则与贝叶斯规则变得不相容。因此,本文证明了Dempster规则并不是Bayes融合规则的推广。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Why Dempster's fusion rule is not a generalization of Bayes fusion rule
In this paper, we analyze Bayes fusion rule in details from a fusion standpoint, as well as the emblematic Dempster's rule of combination introduced by Shafer in his Mathematical Theory of evidence based on belief functions. We propose a new interesting formulation of Bayes rule and point out some of its properties. A deep analysis of the compatibility of Dempster's fusion rule with Bayes fusion rule is done. We show that Dempster's rule is compatible with Bayes fusion rule only in the very particular case where the basic belief assignments (bba's) to combine are Bayesian, and when the prior information is modeled either by a uniform probability measure, or by a vacuous bba. We show clearly that Dempster's rule becomes incompatible with Bayes rule in the more general case where the prior is truly informative (not uniform, nor vacuous). Consequently, this paper proves that Dempster's rule is not a generalization of Bayes fusion rule.
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