玻利维亚的古柯替代与自由贸易:迫在眉睫的危机

H. Toledo
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引用次数: 6

摘要

本文采用十项投入的生产与贸易要素比例模型,分析美洲自由贸易协定(FTAA)对玻利维亚古柯替代计划的潜在影响。在包括古柯在内的六种作物中,该模型产生了价格变化对要素价格和产量的比较静态弹性。结果表明,自由贸易的古柯替代计划将导致古柯产区的收入再分配,因为来自更大、更高效的经济体的竞争加剧。要长期维持古柯替代方案,就需要增加补贴和体制改革。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Coca Substitution and Free Trade in Bolivia: The Pending Crisis
This paper uses the factors proportion model of production and trade with ten inputs to analyze the potential impact of the Free Trade Agreement of the Americas (FTAA) on the coca substitution program in Bolivia. With six crops including coca, the model produces comparative statics elasticities of changing prices on factor prices and output. Results show that the coca substitution program with free trade will result in large income redistribution in the coca-producing region as a result of increased competition from larger and more efficient economies. Increased subsidies and institutional changes will be needed to sustain the coca substitution program in the long run.
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