绝对不平等与暴力财产犯罪

Thomas Goda, A. Torres
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摘要

理性选择模型认为,收入不平等导致犯罪的预期效用更高,从而产生从事非法活动的动机。然而,实证研究的结果并不能为这一理论提供强有力的支持;事实上,诺伊梅尔提供了明显有力的证据,表明当使用代表性样本并控制特定国家的固定效应时,收入不平等并不是暴力财产犯罪率的重要决定因素。这项研究和其他关于这个问题的实证研究的一个重要局限是,它们只考虑了收入的比例差异,尽管在理性选择模型中,合法收入和非法收入的绝对差异决定了犯罪的预期效用。本文使用与Neumayer相同的方法和数据,但使用绝对不平等措施而不是比例措施,发现绝对收入不平等是抢劫和暴力盗窃率的统计显着决定因素。这一结果对样本量的变化和不同的绝对不平等措施都是稳健的,这不仅意味着不平等是暴力财产犯罪率的重要相关因素,而且还表明,在研究不平等对财产犯罪的影响时,绝对措施是可取的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Absolute Inequality and Violent Property Crime
Rational choice models argue that income inequality leads to a higher expected utility of crime and thus generates incentives to engage in illegal activities. Yet, the results of empirical studies do not provide strong support for this theory; in fact, Neumayer provides apparently strong evidence that income inequality is not a significant determinant of violent property crime rates when a representative sample is used and country specific fixed effects are controlled for. An important limitation of this and other empirical studies on the subject is that they only consider proportional income differences, even though in rational choice models absolute difference in legal and illegal incomes determine the expected utility of crime. Using the same methodology and data as Neumayer, but using absolute inequality measures rather than proportional ones, this paper finds that absolute income inequality is a statistically significant determinant of robbery and violent theft rates. This result is robust to changes in sample size and to different absolute inequality measures, which not only implies that inequality is an important correlate of violent property crime rates but also suggests that absolute measures are preferable when the impact of inequality on property crime is studied.
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