对外债务对经济和贫困的影响:

Dedi Junaedi, Faisal Salistia
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引用次数: 3

摘要

摘要本研究旨在:分析外债对印尼经济增长和贫困水平影响的意义;审查在刺激经济和减轻贫穷的情况下,Angagran制度的不同制度是否影响外债的管理;并探讨在鼓励国民经济发展和扶贫工作中最落后的预算制度。使用的方法是使用虚拟变量多元回归检验进行描述性定量分析,使用属样本和1949-2018年的时间序列数据,数据来自印度尼西亚银行(BI),国家发展规划局(Bappenas),中央统计局(BPS),世界银行和其他参考来源。研究结果表明,外债和通货膨胀与国民经济状况,特别是印度尼西亚国内生产总值(GDP)的价值和贫困程度有相关性。债务和通货膨胀往往会增加GDP的价值,减少贫困。这适用于政府预算制度的所有制度。预算制度制度的差异在债务治理作为经济驱动力和扶贫方面具有实际和积极的影响,在实现GDP方面,基于绩效的预算制度,综合预算制度和平衡预算的影响优于基于方案的预算制度。最好的预算制度顺序是:基于绩效的预算、综合预算、预算预算和基于项目的预算。在扶贫方面,平衡预算制度、基于绩效的预算和综合预算比基于方案的预算制度更重要。支持扶贫的最佳预算制度顺序为平衡预算制度、绩效预算制度、综合预算制度和方案预算制度。关键词:预算,债务,经济,GDP,通货膨胀,贫困
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
PENGARUH UTANG LUAR NEGERI TERHADAP PEREKONOMIAN DAN KEMISKINAN:
ABSTRACT This study aims to: analyze the significance of the effect of foreign debt on economic growth and poverty levels in Indonesia; examine whether different regimes of the Angagran system affect the management of foreign debt in the context of stimulating the economy and alleviating poverty; and explore what budget system is most behind in encouraging the national economy and poverty alleviation. The method used is descriptive-quantitative analysis using a dummy variable multiple regression test, with genus samples and times series data 1949-2018, data taken from Bank Indonesia (BI) , National Development Planning Agency (Bappenas), Central Statistics Agency (BPS), World Bank and other reference sources. The research results show that foreign debt and inflation have a correlation with the condition of the national economy, specifically the value of Indonesia's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and the level of poverty. Debt and inflation tend to increase the value of GDP and reduce poverty. This applies to all regimes of the government budget system. The difference in the budget system regime has a real and positive effect in terms of debt governance as an economic driver and poverty alleviation, in achieving GDP, performance-based budgeting regimes, integrated budget regimes and balanced budgets have better impacts than better than program-based budgeting regimes. The best budget system sequences are: performance based budgeting, integrated budgeting, budgeting budgeting and program based budgeting. In poverty alleviation, a balanced budget regime, a performance based budget and an integrated budget are more than a program based budget regime. The order of the best budget system to support poverty alleviation is a balanced budget system, a performance based budget, an integrated budget and a program based budget. Keywords: Budget, Debt, Economy, GDP, Inflation, Poverty
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