人口老龄化

Andrew Smithers
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引用次数: 0

摘要

人口结构的变化,加上低投资和低生产率,是英国和美国经济趋势增长率整体下降的原因。当劳动年龄人口的增长速度超过总人口时,以人均GDP衡量的生活水平就会得到提高。这种有利的人口变化一直持续到2008年。在那之前,生活水平的提高往往快于生产力的提高。从那时起,总人口的增长速度一直快于工作年龄人口的增长速度,而生活水平的增长速度现在将趋于低于生产率的增长速度。对繁荣的影响是巨大的,因为我们已经从有利的情况转到不利的情况。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Ageing Populations
The changes in demography, together with low investment and poor productivity, have been responsible for the whole of the decline in the trend growth rates of the UK and US economies. Living standards measured by GDP per person are given a boost when the population of working age grows faster than the total population. This favourable change in demography was the situation up to 2008. Until then living standards tended to improve faster than productivity. Since then the total population has been growing faster than the numbers of working age and living standards will now tend to grow less rapidly than productivity. The impact on prosperity has been sharp because we have moved from a favourable to an unfavourable situation.
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