亚洲资本市场效率的实证分析

Catarina Revez, Rui Dias, N. Horta, Paula Heliodoro, Paulo Alexandre
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文旨在测试效率,在其弱形式,在资本市场的菲律宾(PSEi),韩国(KOSPI),印度尼西亚(JKSE),泰国(SET),马来西亚(KLCI),中国(SSEC)和香港(HSI)在2017年1月2日至2022年2月17日期间。给定偏度和峰度系数,返回序列显示偏离正态假设的迹象。因此,结果支持指标不支持随机漫步假设的结论,方差比的值在所有情况下都小于1,这意味着收益率随时间自相关,所有指标都存在均值回归。所得结果允许拒绝随机漫步假设和金融市场的信息效率假设。这些发现也为市场监管机构采取措施确保这些地区市场获得更好的信息提供了空间。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Capital Market Efficiency in Asia: An Empirical Analysis
This paper aims to test efficiency, in its weak form, in the capi­tal markets of the Philippines (PSEi), South Korea (KOSPI), Indonesia (JKSE), Thailand (SET), Malaysia (KLCI), China (SSEC) and Hong Kong (HSI) over the period from January 2, 2017, to February 17, 2022. The return series shows signs of deviation from the normality hypothesis, given the skewness and kurtosis coefficients. The results, therefore, support the conclusion that the random walk hypothesis is not supported by the indices, the values of the variance ratios are in all cases less than unity, implying that the returns are autocorrelated over time and there is mean reversion in all indices. The re­sults obtained allow for the rejection of the random walk hypothesis and the informational efficiency hypothesis of financial markets. These findings also open room for market regulators to pursue measures to ensure better infor­mation in these regional markets.
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