调解双边多议题谈判

Raymund J. Lin, S. Chou
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引用次数: 34

摘要

在人类的决策行为中,人们依靠随机选择过程,比如抛硬币,来处理一个包含太多不确定性的情况,以至于他们随后很难理性地判断一个决定。在双边多议题谈判中,即使考虑到议价能力和双方的不确定性,谈判者往往面临着难以通过理性策略甚至投掷硬币来处理的困难决策。在谈判过程中,谈判者双方都拒绝在信息不完整的情况下采取行动,同时又不想透露更多的信息,这可能会出现僵局;那么,就需要进行调解。我们提出了一种基于罗杰·费舍尔(Roger Fisher, 1978)提出的单一协商文本(SNT)装置的调解协议。该协议为双方提供了一个交易构建游戏,这不仅确保了一个合理的策略,而且比抛硬币产生更好的结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Mediating a bilateral multi-issue negotiation
In human decision making behaviors, people rely on random selection processes, such as flipping a coin, to handle a situation that involves so much uncertainty that it subsequently becomes difficult for them to rationally judge a decision. For bilateral multi-issue negotiations, given even bargaining power and two-sided uncertainty, negotiators are often faced with difficult decisions that cannot be handled through using a rational strategy or even flipping a coin. A deadlock situation that both negotiators refuse to act upon with incomplete information and at the same time do not want to disclose more information may occur during a negotiation; then, there is a need for mediation. We propose a mediation protocol that is based on the single negotiation text (SNT) device suggested by Roger Fisher (1978). This protocol provides a deal construction game to both protagonists, which not only ensures a rational strategy but also produces better outcomes than flipping a coin.
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