足球博彩和行为经济学:注

L. Kochman, David Bray, Luc Noiset
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引用次数: 0

摘要

庄家利用投注者对热门球队的偏好来改变点差的策略,不仅破坏了赌徒的常规利润,也为行为经济学家提供了一个不完美决策的明显例子。对后悔的恐惧表明,投注者倾向于受欢迎的球队,因为任何失败都不会是他们独有的。这意味着热门大学球队的利差会被夸大,以平衡赌注,进而在与热门球队对赌被证明是错误的情况下创造获利机会。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
FOOTBALL BETTING AND BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS: A NOTE
The strategy of oddsmakers to alter point spreads that capitalize on bettors’ preference for popular teams not only dooms regular profits for gamblers but also provides a clear example of imperfect decision-making for behavioral economists. The fear of regret suggests that bettors gravitate toward popular teams since any losses would not be peculiar to them. The implication that spreads on popular college teams would be inflated to balance bets and, in turn, create profit opportunities when betting against popular teams proved faulty.
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