潜在增长曲线模型中的贝叶斯幂等价

A. Stefan, Timo von Oertzen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

纵向研究是社会科学中时间依赖现象研究的黄金标准。然而,由于测量场合多,总体研究时间长,往往需要较高的成本。因此,在保持设计的高信息量的同时,优化这些设计因素是有用的。Von Oertzen和Brandmaier (2013,Psychology and Aging, 28, 414)运用功率等效理论,证明不同设计因素的潜在生长曲线模型(lgcm)对潜在结构的似然比检验具有相同的功率。本文证明了幂等价的概念可以推广到潜在结构常数的贝叶斯假设检验中。具体来说,我们展示了贝叶斯因子设计分析(BFDA;Schönbrodt & Wagenmakers (2018,Psychonomic Bulletin and Review, 25, 128)认为两个功率等效的lgcm是等效的。这将对那些旨在计划令人信服的证据而不是频率论力量的研究人员有用,并为BFDA更有效的程序做出贡献。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Bayesian power equivalence in latent growth curve models
Longitudinal studies are the gold standard for research on time‐dependent phenomena in the social sciences. However, they often entail high costs due to multiple measurement occasions and a long overall study duration. It is therefore useful to optimize these design factors while maintaining a high informativeness of the design. Von Oertzen and Brandmaier (2013,Psychology and Aging, 28, 414) applied power equivalence to show that Latent Growth Curve Models (LGCMs) with different design factors can have the same power for likelihood‐ratio tests on the latent structure. In this paper, we show that the notion of power equivalence can be extended to Bayesian hypothesis tests of the latent structure constants. Specifically, we show that the results of a Bayes factor design analysis (BFDA; Schönbrodt & Wagenmakers (2018,Psychonomic Bulletin and Review, 25, 128) of two power equivalent LGCMs are equivalent. This will be useful for researchers who aim to plan for compelling evidence instead of frequentist power and provides a contribution towards more efficient procedures for BFDA.
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