短期动量和账面市值效应

Ming Dong, Allen Goss
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们提供了一项事件研究的证据,该证据与动量和账面市值比(B/M)效应可以通过时变风险溢价完全解释的观点相反。我们通过考察一个相对较短(26天)的窗口,将市场效率测试中的联合假设问题最小化,该窗口既表现出动量效应,也表现出逆转效应。前17天有回盘延续,后9天急剧反转。在这个小的事件窗口内,强劲的动量和反转的共存排除了风险溢价或机会作为动量的可能原因,使投资者的错误估值成为这一时期这种异常现象的唯一解释。此外,B/M和动量之间的几种相互作用模式也指向了在此期间对B/M效应的行为解释。我们的证据的一般含义是,投资者行为偏差是解释动量和B/M异常的必要因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Short-Run Momentum and Book-to-Market Effects
We present evidence from an event study that runs counter to the notion that the momentum and book-to-market (B/M) effects can be fully explained by time-varying risk premia. We minimize the joint hypothesis problem in market-efficiency tests by examining a relatively short (26-day) window that exhibits both momentum and reversal effects. There is return continuation during the first 17 days but sharp reversal during the last 9 days. The co-existence of strong momentum and reversal over this small event window rules out risk premium or chance as possible causes of momentum, leaving investor misvaluation as the only explanation for this anomaly during this period. Furthermore, several patterns of interaction between B/M and momentum also point to a behavioral interpretation of the B/M effect during the period. The general implication of our evidence is that investor behavioral biases are a necessary ingredient for the explanation of both the momentum and B/M anomalies.
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