{"title":"时变风险的定价","authors":"George Tauchen, Ivan Shaliastovich","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.1687963","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We develop a discrete-time real endowment economy featuring Epstein-Zin recursive utility and a Levy time-change subordinator, which represents a clock that connects business time to calendar time. This setup provides a convenient equilibrium framework for pricing non-Gaussian risks, where the solutions for financial prices are available up to integral operations in general, or in closed-form for tempered stable shocks. The non-Gaussianity of fundamentals due to time-deformation induces compensations for higher order moments and co-moments of consumption and dividend growth rates of the assets. Forecastability of the time change leads to predictability of the endowment streams and therefore to time-variation in financial prices and risk premia on assets. In numerical calibrations, we quantitatively analyze the compensations for different types of systematic risk.","PeriodicalId":351720,"journal":{"name":"Wharton School: Finance (Topic)","volume":"32 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2008-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"11","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Pricing of the Time-Change Risks\",\"authors\":\"George Tauchen, Ivan Shaliastovich\",\"doi\":\"10.2139/ssrn.1687963\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"We develop a discrete-time real endowment economy featuring Epstein-Zin recursive utility and a Levy time-change subordinator, which represents a clock that connects business time to calendar time. This setup provides a convenient equilibrium framework for pricing non-Gaussian risks, where the solutions for financial prices are available up to integral operations in general, or in closed-form for tempered stable shocks. The non-Gaussianity of fundamentals due to time-deformation induces compensations for higher order moments and co-moments of consumption and dividend growth rates of the assets. Forecastability of the time change leads to predictability of the endowment streams and therefore to time-variation in financial prices and risk premia on assets. In numerical calibrations, we quantitatively analyze the compensations for different types of systematic risk.\",\"PeriodicalId\":351720,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Wharton School: Finance (Topic)\",\"volume\":\"32 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2008-04-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"11\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Wharton School: Finance (Topic)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1687963\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Wharton School: Finance (Topic)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1687963","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
We develop a discrete-time real endowment economy featuring Epstein-Zin recursive utility and a Levy time-change subordinator, which represents a clock that connects business time to calendar time. This setup provides a convenient equilibrium framework for pricing non-Gaussian risks, where the solutions for financial prices are available up to integral operations in general, or in closed-form for tempered stable shocks. The non-Gaussianity of fundamentals due to time-deformation induces compensations for higher order moments and co-moments of consumption and dividend growth rates of the assets. Forecastability of the time change leads to predictability of the endowment streams and therefore to time-variation in financial prices and risk premia on assets. In numerical calibrations, we quantitatively analyze the compensations for different types of systematic risk.