基于小波网络的行程时间非线性组合预测模型

Sheng Li
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引用次数: 19

摘要

本文主要研究了将人工神经网络与卡尔曼滤波理论相结合,并将其应用于实时行程时间预测模型。人工神经网络预测和卡尔曼滤波可以对相关路段的旅行时间和交通量之间的复杂关系进行建模。为了提高两种模型的预测精度,提出了一种基于小波网络的两种模型的非线性组合预测方法。通过实际检测到的交通数据或城市道路网络中的链路,对新模型的性能进行了测试。结果表明,基于小波网络的组合策略优于其他方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Nonlinear combination of travel-time prediction model based on wavelet network
In the paper, research is focused on a combination of artificial neural network and Kalman filtering theory with application to real-time travel-time prediction model. ANN forecasters and Kalman filtering can model the complicated relationship between travel-time and traffic volume in related links. To enhance the prediction accuracy of these models, a nonlinear combination prediction approach of these two models is proposed based on wavelet networks. The performance of the novel model is tested by real detected traffic data or the links in the urban road networks. The results indicate that combination strategies based on the wavelet network outperform the other approaches.
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