采购中拍卖与议价的实验研究

Jason M. Shachat, L. Tan
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引用次数: 15

摘要

在反向拍卖中,买家通常保留要求中标者进一步让步的权利。这种采购的最佳形式是英式拍卖,然后由拍卖人选择与获胜者进行最后通牒议价。我们使用实验室实验来研究这种采购模式下的行为和表现。卖家严格遵循均衡策略,以自己的成本退出拍卖,然后接受绝对有利可图的出价。买家通常根据他们的均衡策略行使他们的议价选择权,但他们的要么接受要么放弃的出价随着拍卖价格的变化而变化,而他们应该是不变的。我们通过将买家的主观后验建模来解释这种偏差,将赢家的成本视为扭曲,使用贝叶斯后验的概率加权公式计算。我们发现基于风险规避和预期后悔的替代模型不能解释这些价格依赖关系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Experimental Investigation of Auctions and Bargaining in Procurement
In reverse auctions, buyers often retain the right to bargain further concessions from the winner. The optimal form of such procurement is an English auction followed by an auctioneer's option to engage in ultimatum bargaining with the winner. We study behavior and performance in this procurement format using a laboratory experiment. Sellers closely follow the equilibrium strategy of exiting the auction at their costs and then accepting strictly profitable offers. Buyers generally exercise their option to bargain according to their equilibrium strategy, but their take-it-or-leave-it offers vary positively with auction prices when they should be invariant. We explain this deviation by modeling buyers' subjective posteriors regarding the winners' costs as distortions, calculated using a formulation of probability weighting, of the Bayesian posteriors. We show alternative models based upon risk aversion and anticipated regret can't explain these price dependencies.
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