比特币市场的季节性

A. Fraz, Arshad Hassan, Sumayya Chughtai
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引用次数: 3

摘要

比特币是一种在线通信协议,可以促进电子交易。最近,它吸引了投资者和研究人员的注意。比特币的非监管特性使其风险更高,其交易中的投机因素高于任何其他金融资产。该研究通过研究2013年至2017年期间一周中的一天和一年中的月份的影响,深入了解比特币的价格动态。研究结果表明,比特币的回报行为存在季节性,因为周一的回报高于一周中的其他任何一天。同样,11月份的回报率与一年中的其他月份也有很大不同。研究结果违反了弱形式市场效率的假设,并暗示比特币市场为投资者提供了从其可预测行为中挖掘市场并获取异常收益的机会。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Seasonality in Bitcoin Market
Bitcoin is an online communication protocol, which facilitates electronic transactions. It has grabbed the attention of investors and researchers in the recent past. The non-regulatory feature of Bitcoin makes it riskier and the element of speculation in its trading is higher than any other financial asset. The study provides an insight into the price dynamics of Bitcoin by examining the day of the week and month of the year effect for the period 2013 to 2017. The findings of the study indicate the existence of seasonality in the return behaviour of Bitcoin as returns for Monday is higher than any other day of the week. Likewise, the returns earned during the month of November are significantly different from other months of the year. The results of the study assert a violation of the assumption of weak-form market efficiency and imply that the Bitcoin market provides an opportunity for the investors to exploit the market from its predictable behavior and fetch abnormal gains.
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