{"title":"利用混合遗传算法和模糊神经系统实现外部因素对用电量的预测","authors":"Gayatri Dwi Santika","doi":"10.1109/CAIPT.2017.8320708","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Forecasting of the future load is important because of dramatic changes occurring in the electricity consumption lifestyle. Several algorithms have been suggested for solving this problem. This paper introduces a new modified fuzzy neural system approach for short term load forecasting. By using two phase on Fuzzy Inference system and Genetic algorithm for optimization, weight can improve the accuracy of electricity load forecasting. The relationship external factors like temperature, humidity, price load, Gross Domestic Product and load is identified with a case study for a particular region. Data for a monthly load of five years has been used. The accuracy algorithm has been validated using Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). The result RMSE is 0.78 it is shown that our proposed method is feasible.","PeriodicalId":351075,"journal":{"name":"2017 4th International Conference on Computer Applications and Information Processing Technology (CAIPT)","volume":"4 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2017-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"4","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Enabling external factors for consumption electricity forecasting using hybrid genetic algorithm and fuzzy neural system\",\"authors\":\"Gayatri Dwi Santika\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/CAIPT.2017.8320708\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Forecasting of the future load is important because of dramatic changes occurring in the electricity consumption lifestyle. Several algorithms have been suggested for solving this problem. This paper introduces a new modified fuzzy neural system approach for short term load forecasting. By using two phase on Fuzzy Inference system and Genetic algorithm for optimization, weight can improve the accuracy of electricity load forecasting. The relationship external factors like temperature, humidity, price load, Gross Domestic Product and load is identified with a case study for a particular region. Data for a monthly load of five years has been used. The accuracy algorithm has been validated using Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). The result RMSE is 0.78 it is shown that our proposed method is feasible.\",\"PeriodicalId\":351075,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2017 4th International Conference on Computer Applications and Information Processing Technology (CAIPT)\",\"volume\":\"4 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2017-08-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"4\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2017 4th International Conference on Computer Applications and Information Processing Technology (CAIPT)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/CAIPT.2017.8320708\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2017 4th International Conference on Computer Applications and Information Processing Technology (CAIPT)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/CAIPT.2017.8320708","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Enabling external factors for consumption electricity forecasting using hybrid genetic algorithm and fuzzy neural system
Forecasting of the future load is important because of dramatic changes occurring in the electricity consumption lifestyle. Several algorithms have been suggested for solving this problem. This paper introduces a new modified fuzzy neural system approach for short term load forecasting. By using two phase on Fuzzy Inference system and Genetic algorithm for optimization, weight can improve the accuracy of electricity load forecasting. The relationship external factors like temperature, humidity, price load, Gross Domestic Product and load is identified with a case study for a particular region. Data for a monthly load of five years has been used. The accuracy algorithm has been validated using Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). The result RMSE is 0.78 it is shown that our proposed method is feasible.