测量浪费对埃及最重要谷类作物的农业经济资源和粮食安全的影响

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摘要

本研究旨在通过研究以下目标,确定1990-2016年期间埃及最重要谷物作物损失的经济维度及其与农业经济资源和粮食安全损失的关系:(1)通过研究(a) 2010-2016年期间(2010-2016年)所研究谷物作物的损失量及其与生产和消费之比的演变,得出1990 -2016年期间最重要谷物作物(小麦和水稻)的粮食安全现状;(2)最重要谷物作物(小麦和水稻)的营养损失及其与农业经济资源损失的相关程度;(b)估计由于生产中使用的农业资源损失而造成的经济损失的价值。(3)在研究期间衡量损失对最重要的谷类作物(小麦和水稻)粮食安全水平的影响。这项研究依赖于实现其目标,依赖于用于估计农业经济资源损失的经济方程和用于测量粮食安全系数的方程。本研究还采用普通最小二乘法(OLS)进行多元回归分析。研究得出了一系列结果,其中最重要的是:(1)通过对最重要谷物作物的粮食安全现状进行研究,发现1990-2016年期间,小麦和水稻的战略库存量约为1011326万吨,期末小麦和水稻的粮食安全系数分别为0.52、0.67;(2)通过研究小麦和水稻的营养损失及其与经济资源损失的相关性,已经表明,小麦的损失达3090.85吨,然后在土地资源数量的损失高达约112万feddans和大约27.3亿3 2016年的水,因为它发现,大米的损失达87.653万吨,土地资源的损失的量相当于大约22.36万feddans水资源和大约11.2亿3,(3)通过研究损失的影响食品安全的水平,研究发现,小麦和水稻损失每增加10%,粮食安全水平分别下降1.0%和33.1%。最后,本研究建议有必要通过以下措施减少粮食损失及其对农业经济资源和粮食安全的负面影响:(一)扩大使用收获后的运输、储存和制造技术;(二)在各省扩大建立粮仓来储存粮食,以消除露天储存谷物的现象;(三)在粮食损失不适合人类食用时,将其转化为牲畜饲料。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
MEASURING THE IMPACT OF WASTE ON AGRICULTURAL ECONOMIC RESOURCES AND FOOD SECURITY FOR THE MOST IMPORTANT CEREAL CROPS IN EGYPT
: The research aimed to identify the economic dimension of the loss and its relationship to the loss in agricultural economic resources and food security of the most important cereal crops in Egypt during the period (1990-2016) by studying the following objetives: (1) the current status of food security of the most important cereal crops (wheat and rice) during the period (1990) - 2016), (2) The nutritional loss of the most important cereals crops (wheat and rice) and its extent related to the loss in agricultural economic resources, through a study (a) the evolution of the amount of loss and its ratio to production and consumption of the study cereals crops during the period (2010-2016), (b) an estimate of the value of the economic loss as a result of the loss in the agricultural resources used in the production The equivalent of the amount of waste Alimentarius for cereals, (3) to measure the impact of losses on the level of food security for the most important cereal crops (wheat and rice) during the study period. This study relied on achieving its objectives, on the economic equations used in estimating the loss in the agricultural economic resources and the equations used in measuring the food security coefficient. This study also relied on the multiple regression analysis by using ordinary least squares method (OLS). The research reached a set of results, the most important of which are: (1) By studying the current state of food security of the most important cereal crops, it was found that the strategic stocks of both wheat and rice amounted to about 10.11, 3.26 million tons during the period (1990-2016), and reached The coefficient of food security for wheat and rice is 0.52, 0.67 each, respectively at the end of the period, (2) By studying the nutritional loss of both wheat and rice and its correlation with the loss in economic resources, it has been shown that the loss of wheat amounted to 3090.85 tons, and then the amount of loss in land resources amounted to about 1.12 million feddans and about 2.73 billion m 3 of water in 2016, as it was found that the loss of rice It amounted to 876.53 thousand tons, so the amount of the loss in the land resources amounted to about 223.60 thousand feddans and about 1.12 billion m 3 of water resources, (3) by studying the impact of losses on the level of food security, it was found that increasing the losses of wheat and rice by 10% leads to a decrease in the level of food security by 1.0%, 33.1% each, respectively. Finally, this study recommends the need to reduce food losses and its negative effects on agricultural economic resources and food security, through the following: (1) the expansion of the use of post-harvest technology for transport, storage and manufacturing operations, (2) the expansion of the establishment of grain silos in various governorates to store grains, for eliminate cereals storing in the open, (3) converting food losses into fodder for livestock in case they are not suitable for human consumption.
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