1990-2018年伊拉克财政政策冲击与货币稳定关系分析

Basim Khamees Ubid
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引用次数: 0

摘要

该研究旨在衡量积极和消极财政政策冲击对伊拉克货币稳定的影响,这代表了货币稳定作为实际和价格稳定的指标。财政政策冲击是影响产出和价格周期的公共支出和公共收入的数量变化,财政政策尽管伴随着时间差距,但它仍然是一项有影响力的政策,对发展中国家的经济增长和发展具有很大程度的影响。财政政策代表了与GDP周期一致的国家一般预算工具中计划的经济和社会目标的数字转换。经济和社会目标源于财政政策的核心功能和主要目标,即资源的配置、稳定和恢复分配以及这些功能,正如我们所知,自由市场技术可能无法实现它们,这就干扰了财政政策解决市场无法达到既定目标的问题。财政和货币政策之间的协调并不意味着独立性的丧失,而是意味着在纠正财政和货币政策时,不会对必要的纠正造成不良影响。反对这种协调,我们已经触及了国际货币基金组织(IMF)采用的货币稳定指数,以讨论金融冲击对伊拉克货币稳定指数的影响,伊拉克经济经历了积极的财政和收入政策冲击,而支出方面的负面金融冲击有限。公共和公共收入及其影响是通过财政政策冲击之间存在的长期关系来研究的,即公共支出和公共收入的数量变化对货币稳定的影响。分布滞后自回归技术中的边界检验证明了伊拉克财政政策冲击与货币稳定之间存在长期关系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis of the Relationship between Fiscal Policy Shocks and Monetary Stability in Iraq's Economy for the Period 1990-2018
The research aims to measure the impact of positive and negative fiscal policy shocks on monetary stability in Iraq, which represents monetary stability as an indicator of real and price stability. Fiscal policy shocks are quantitative changes in public spending and public revenue affecting the output and price cycle, and fiscal policy despite the accompanying time gaps, but it remains a policy Influential and has a significant degree of impact on economic growth and development in developing countries. The fiscal policy represents a numerical translation of the economic and social objectives planned in the state's general budget tool consistent with the GDP cycle. The economic and social goals stem from the core of the functions and the main objectives of the fiscal policy, namely the allocation of resources, stability and restoration Distribution and these functions, as we know, free market techniques may fail to achieve them, which interferes with the financial policy to address the failure of the market to reach the set goals, and that coordination between fiscal and monetary policies does not mean a loss of independence as much as it means correcting fiscal and monetary policies without causing undesirable adverse effects upon the necessary correction. For local courses Opposing this coordination, and we have touched on the monetary stability index adopted by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to discuss the impact of financial shocks on the monetary stability index in Iraq, where the Iraqi economy witnessed positive fiscal and revenue policy shocks with limited negative financial shocks in spending. Public and public revenue and the impact was studied through the existence of long-term relationships that link fiscal policy shocks, i.e. quantitative changes in public spending and public revenue on monetary stability. The boundary test within the Autoregression techniques of distributed Lag demonstrated the existence of a long-term relationship between fiscal policy shocks and monetary stability in Iraq.
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