{"title":"考虑KNN-GAN数据增强的净零能耗建筑综合负荷消耗与光伏输出预测","authors":"Hou-Wang Iao, Keng-Weng Lao","doi":"10.1109/ICoPESA56898.2023.10140781","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Net-zero energy building (NZEB) is an emerging active carbon reduction solution. It achieves on-site renewable generations and zero balance between supply and demand. In NZEB, the photovoltaic (PV) accounts for the majority of distributed generations. However, its random and stochastic nature aggravates the accuracy of look-ahead PV output forecasting. Meanwhile, the spatial-temporal uncertainty of customers’ electricity consumption can also result in improper load predictions. Besides, missing data in the late-model NZEB energy system enhances the difficulty of accurate forecasting. In this paper, a LSTM and Transformer-based forecasting models with K-nearest Neighbors (KNN) data interpolation and Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) data augmentation are demonstrated for load consumption and PV output forecasting of NZEB. The proposed framework obtains significant improvements in terms of root-mean-square error (RMSE) by 7.168 kW and 4.603 kW, in load and PV power forecasting respectively.","PeriodicalId":127339,"journal":{"name":"2023 International Conference on Power Energy Systems and Applications (ICoPESA)","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-02-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Integrated Load Consumption and PV Output Forecasting of Net-zero Energy Buildings Considering KNN-GAN Data Augmentation\",\"authors\":\"Hou-Wang Iao, Keng-Weng Lao\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/ICoPESA56898.2023.10140781\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Net-zero energy building (NZEB) is an emerging active carbon reduction solution. It achieves on-site renewable generations and zero balance between supply and demand. In NZEB, the photovoltaic (PV) accounts for the majority of distributed generations. However, its random and stochastic nature aggravates the accuracy of look-ahead PV output forecasting. Meanwhile, the spatial-temporal uncertainty of customers’ electricity consumption can also result in improper load predictions. Besides, missing data in the late-model NZEB energy system enhances the difficulty of accurate forecasting. In this paper, a LSTM and Transformer-based forecasting models with K-nearest Neighbors (KNN) data interpolation and Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) data augmentation are demonstrated for load consumption and PV output forecasting of NZEB. The proposed framework obtains significant improvements in terms of root-mean-square error (RMSE) by 7.168 kW and 4.603 kW, in load and PV power forecasting respectively.\",\"PeriodicalId\":127339,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2023 International Conference on Power Energy Systems and Applications (ICoPESA)\",\"volume\":\"1 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-02-24\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2023 International Conference on Power Energy Systems and Applications (ICoPESA)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICoPESA56898.2023.10140781\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2023 International Conference on Power Energy Systems and Applications (ICoPESA)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICoPESA56898.2023.10140781","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Integrated Load Consumption and PV Output Forecasting of Net-zero Energy Buildings Considering KNN-GAN Data Augmentation
Net-zero energy building (NZEB) is an emerging active carbon reduction solution. It achieves on-site renewable generations and zero balance between supply and demand. In NZEB, the photovoltaic (PV) accounts for the majority of distributed generations. However, its random and stochastic nature aggravates the accuracy of look-ahead PV output forecasting. Meanwhile, the spatial-temporal uncertainty of customers’ electricity consumption can also result in improper load predictions. Besides, missing data in the late-model NZEB energy system enhances the difficulty of accurate forecasting. In this paper, a LSTM and Transformer-based forecasting models with K-nearest Neighbors (KNN) data interpolation and Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) data augmentation are demonstrated for load consumption and PV output forecasting of NZEB. The proposed framework obtains significant improvements in terms of root-mean-square error (RMSE) by 7.168 kW and 4.603 kW, in load and PV power forecasting respectively.