{"title":"马来西亚教师提前退休潮还会继续吗?——基于GM(1,1)灰色预测模型的灰色预测","authors":"Han Li, Na Zhao","doi":"10.33422/worldte.v1i1.43","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The number of teachers in Malaysia has decreased since 2017 as a result of a tendency toward early retirement among teachers. Numerous organizations have suggested that laws be passed in reaction to this trend to lessen the effects, but Malaysia has yet to come up with any viable solutions. Is it possible that these circumstances will allow for a progressive decrease in the number of early retirees in the near future? Based on this inquiry, a GM(1,1) gray prediction model was created and a gray prediction was formed, which indicates that in 2022–2024, Malaysia's teacher population and teacher–student radio will continue to decline. The Malaysian government needs to take this seriously and aggressively implement a number of steps to prevent the negative effects of early teacher retirement on educational standards.","PeriodicalId":288175,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of The World Conference on Research in Teaching and Education","volume":"44 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-05-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Will the Wave of Early Retirement of Teachers in Malaysia Continue? - a Grey Prediction Based on GM(1,1) Gray Prediction Model\",\"authors\":\"Han Li, Na Zhao\",\"doi\":\"10.33422/worldte.v1i1.43\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The number of teachers in Malaysia has decreased since 2017 as a result of a tendency toward early retirement among teachers. Numerous organizations have suggested that laws be passed in reaction to this trend to lessen the effects, but Malaysia has yet to come up with any viable solutions. Is it possible that these circumstances will allow for a progressive decrease in the number of early retirees in the near future? Based on this inquiry, a GM(1,1) gray prediction model was created and a gray prediction was formed, which indicates that in 2022–2024, Malaysia's teacher population and teacher–student radio will continue to decline. The Malaysian government needs to take this seriously and aggressively implement a number of steps to prevent the negative effects of early teacher retirement on educational standards.\",\"PeriodicalId\":288175,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Proceedings of The World Conference on Research in Teaching and Education\",\"volume\":\"44 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-05-31\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Proceedings of The World Conference on Research in Teaching and Education\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.33422/worldte.v1i1.43\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Proceedings of The World Conference on Research in Teaching and Education","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.33422/worldte.v1i1.43","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Will the Wave of Early Retirement of Teachers in Malaysia Continue? - a Grey Prediction Based on GM(1,1) Gray Prediction Model
The number of teachers in Malaysia has decreased since 2017 as a result of a tendency toward early retirement among teachers. Numerous organizations have suggested that laws be passed in reaction to this trend to lessen the effects, but Malaysia has yet to come up with any viable solutions. Is it possible that these circumstances will allow for a progressive decrease in the number of early retirees in the near future? Based on this inquiry, a GM(1,1) gray prediction model was created and a gray prediction was formed, which indicates that in 2022–2024, Malaysia's teacher population and teacher–student radio will continue to decline. The Malaysian government needs to take this seriously and aggressively implement a number of steps to prevent the negative effects of early teacher retirement on educational standards.