外国直接投资对东盟五国消除贫穷的影响

Shania Puteri Azaria, Estro Dariatno Sihaloho
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摘要

本研究旨在利用东盟五个中高收入国家28年的面板数据,探讨外国直接投资(FDI)与贫困之间的关系。本研究选取的时间序列数据期为1990年至2018年。本研究选取的五个国家,即印度尼西亚、马来西亚、泰国、越南和菲律宾,被假定为“虎崽经济体”。本研究采用可行广义最小二乘(FGLS)方法对统计面板数据进行分析。这一分析的结果表明,外国直接投资对五个东盟国家的贫困有消极和重大的影响。本研究的其他重要结果表明,国内生产总值(GDP)、金融部门提供的信贷(作为金融发展的代理)和教育变量对降低贫困发生率有显著贡献。以吸引外国直接投资、改善金融发展和支持更高水平教育为重点的政策有可能在选定的五个东盟国家减少贫困。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
IMPACTS OF FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT ON POVERTY ERADICATION IN ASEAN-5 COUNTRIES
This research aims to investigate the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) and poverty using panel data of five ASEAN upper and lower middle-income countries for 28 years. The time series data period selected in this study is from 1990 until 2018. The five countries selected to be investigated in this research are presumed as the Tiger Cub Economies, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam, and the Philippines. This study conducted the Feasible Generalized least Square (FGLS) methods to analyze the statistical panel data. The result from this analysis indicates that foreign direct investment has a negative and significant impact on poverty in five ASEAN countries. Other important results from this study showed that the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), credit provided by the financial sector as the proxy of financial development, and education variables contribute significantly to lower poverty incidence. Policies that focus on attracting foreign direct investment, improving financial development, and support a higher level of education have the potential to reduce poverty in the selected five ASEAN countries.
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