一般单调决策问题中的信息比较

Yonggyun Kim
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引用次数: 1

摘要

我研究信息在单调决策问题中的价值,其中行动空间可能是多维的。在这些一般环境中,动作存在合理的偏序,高阶动作是高信号实现的最佳选择。作为比较信息结构的标准,我提出了一种称为单调准乱码的条件,意思是通过向另一个信息结构反向添加单调噪声(低状态时噪声更大,高状态时噪声更小)来获得信息结构。结果表明,单调拟乱码是决策者获得较高事前预期收益的充分条件。与Blackwell(1951、1953)提出的乱码条件和Lehmann(1988)提出的有效性条件相比,这个新标准通常允许更多的比较。为了说明,我将结果应用于最优保险问题和非线性垄断定价问题。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Comparing Information in General Monotone Decision Problems
I study the value of information in monotone decision problems where the action spaces are potentially multidimensional. In these general environments, there exist sensible partial orders on actions and higher actions are optimal for higher signal realizations. As a criterion for comparing information structures, I develop a condition called monotone quasi-garbling meaning that an information structure is obtained by adding reversely monotone noise (more noisy in a lower state and less noisy in a higher state) to another. It is shown that monotone quasi-garbling is a sufficient condition for decision makers to get a higher ex-ante expected payoff. This new criterion generally permits more comparisons than the garbling condition by Blackwell (1951, 1953) and the effectiveness condition by Lehmann (1988). To illustrate, I apply the result to an optimal insurance problem and a nonlinear monopoly pricing problem.
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