印度零售业的外国直接投资:有效实施的基础

Rohan Deshpande
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引用次数: 0

摘要

印度零售业的外国直接投资(FDI)政策自推出以来,一直受到不断的政治讨论、辩论和抗议,如今已不再是神话或遥远的梦想。执政党最近在国会两院都以惨败的方式通过了审判,一项基本上被誉为改革性质的政策得到了统治阶级的赞同。印度工商联合会(FICCI)最近表示,如果允许海外投资,到2020年,印度零售业的规模预计将增加一倍以上,达到1.3万亿美元,预计有组织零售业的平均年增长率将达到25%。目前,有组织的零售部门占有微不足道的7-8%的份额,而所有零售活动的大部分都是传统的/无组织的。在零售业向外国直接投资开放之后,有组织的零售业的这种发展迟缓将会得到改观。因此,毫无疑问,它将引领经济改革的新时代,为扭转经济衰退提供足够的推动力,并重塑国际社会对印度公司增长故事的信心,但前提是实施得当。在这一大步中,对我们的经济、政治和监管框架进行自我评估测试,以满足有效实施而不存在缺陷的要求,肯定会暴露出一些灰色地带。这项研究的结果将确定在外国直接投资涌入之前需要解决的关键问题和空白。这些问题包括主要的全球零售商以破坏供应商和农民利益的价格大规模采购的方式实行垄断做法、掠夺性定价和卡特尔化以破坏无组织零售商的业务、需要严格的当地采购规范,这些规范不能在个案基础上被藐视或否决、政治在国家具体制定外国直接投资零售政策中的作用等。反外国直接投资游说者提出的一个主要问题是,印度零售业,特别是有组织的零售业欠发达,处于初级阶段,在向外国投资者开放该行业之前,应首先允许国内零售业发展和整合。由于这种需求无法再得到满足,因此还将详细讨论政府采取强有力行动,向中小微企业和无组织零售部门提供平行发展支持的必要性。最后,将提出有效执行的解决办法和建议供审议。只有政府采取行动,确保在外国直接投资进入零售业之前建立适当的框架,才能决定它是改变游戏规则还是失败。现在比以往任何时候都更需要持久的改革,以在印度经济中扎根,确保外国直接投资在零售制度中的有效性将大大有助于实现这一目标。要做到这一点,它必须没有争议,应该迎合民众的利益,而不是迎合全球零售巨头的利益。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
FDI in Indian Retail Sector: Groundwork for Effective Implementation
After being subject to incessant political discussion, debate and protest since it was introduced, the policy of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in Indian retail is now no more a myth or a distant dream. The ruling party recently passed the trial by fire in both Houses of Parliament, and a policy that is largely hailed as reformative in nature received the assent of the ruling class. Industry body Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FICCI) recently said that the size of India's retail industry is expected to more than double to $1.3 trillion by 2020, led by an estimated 25 percent average annual growth in organised retail if overseas investment is permitted in the sector. Currently, the organised retail sector holds a paltry 7-8% share, while a large chunk of all retailing activities are traditional/unorganized. This stunted growth of organised retail will witness a makeover following the opening up of the retail sector to FDI. Thus, it is no question of primacy that it will usher in a new era of economic reforms that will provide the adequate boost to countermand the slump and refurbish international belief in the growth story of India Inc., but, only if it is implemented soundly. In this stride, a self-assessment test of our economic, political and regulatory framework to meet the requirements for effective enactment without drawbacks is sure to reveal some grey areas. The findings of this study will identify such key issues and lacunae that need to be tackled with before the influx of foreign direct investment. These include the issue of major global retailers exercising monopolistic practices by way of large-scale procurement at rates that will be subversive to the interests of suppliers and farmers, predatory pricing and cartelization to destroy businesses of the unorganized retailers, the need for stringent local sourcing norms which cannot be flouted or over-ruled on a case to case basis, the role of politics in State specific enactment of the FDI in retail policy, etc. One of the major issues raised by the anti-FDI lobbyists was that the Indian retail sector, particularly the organized retail sector being under-developed and in a nascent stage, this domestic retail sector should be allowed to grow and consolidate first, before opening up the sector to foreign investors. Since this demand cannot be met with anymore, the need for strong governmental action in extending parallel developmental support to the MSME and unorganized retail sector will also be discussed at length. Finally, solutions and recommendations for effective implementation will be put forth for consideration. Only the governmental action in ensuring that proper frameworks are in place before the advent of FDI in retail will define whether it becomes a game changer or a failure. More than ever, now is the need for lasting reforms to take root in the Indian economy, and ensuring the efficacy of the FDI in retail regime will go a long way in achieving this goal. For this to happen, it necessarily needs to be free from controversies and should cater to the interests of the populace and not to that of the global retail giants.
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