基于变异机制的金融社会舆情传播模型研究

Maojun Huang, Mei Hong, Lin Dong, Dayu Yuan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在互联网快速发展的背景下,财经舆情传播的场所从传统的线下场所转向了各大线上社交平台。掌握金融社会舆论在网络社交媒体上传播的发展机制,可以有效估计舆论影响的时长和受影响人群的范围,为相关工作人员提供有效的指导。基于易感感染恢复模型,将参与意见扩散的人分为评论者和讨论者,并引入变异机制设计易感-评论-讨论-移除模型,然后对模型进行仿真,研究不同初始状态和参数对模型的影响,最后结合股票酒吧的真实数据验证模型的有效性。仿真实验和验证表明,该模型能够有效描述舆情在金融社交平台用户群体中发生时的传播情况,为相关工作者提供有效参考。但是,舆论的内容、传播者的个人影响、传播的滞后效应等都会对传播产生影响,这些问题都需要在未来的研究中加以解决。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Research on financial social public opinion communication model based on variation mechanism
In the context of rapid development of the Internet, the place of spreading financial public opinion is converted from traditional offline places to major online social platforms. Mastering the development mechanism of financial social opinion dissemination on online social media can effectively estimate the length of influence of public opinion and the scope of affected people, and provide effective guidance to relevant staff. Based on the Susceptible Infected Recovered Model, this paper divides the people involved in opinion diffusion into commenters and discussers, and introduces the variation mechanism to design the Susceptible-comment-discussion-removal model, then simulates the model to study the effects of different initial states and parameters on the model, and finally verifies the validity of the model by combining the real data of stock bars. The simulation experiments and validation show that the model can effectively describe the spread of public opinion among the user groups of financial social platforms when it occurs, and provide a valid reference for related workers. However, the content of public opinion, the personal influence of communicators, and the lag effect of communication all have an impact on communication, and these issues need to be addressed in future research.
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