个性化指标为所有:股票明智的技术指标优化与股票嵌入

Zhige Li, Derek Yang, Li Zhao, Jiang Bian, Tao Qin, Tie-Yan Liu
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引用次数: 39

摘要

作为最重要的投资方法之一,技术分析试图通过解释历史价格和成交量数据的内在规律来预测股票的运动。为了解决金融市场嘈杂的本质,通用技术分析开发了技术交易指标,作为历史价格和交易量数据的数学总结,为稳健和有利可图的投资策略奠定了基础。然而,通过观察发现,不同性质的股票对技术指标的亲和力不同,这对指标导向的选股和投资提出了很大的挑战。为了解决这个问题,在本文中,我们设计了一个技术交易指标优化(TTIO)框架,该框架通过利用股票属性来优化原始技术指标。为了获得股票属性的有效表示,我们提出了一种Skip-gram架构来学习股票嵌入,该架构的灵感来自于基金经理集体投资行为形成的有价值知识库。基于学习到的股票表示,TTIO进一步学习一个重尺度网络来优化指标的性能。对真实股市数据的大量实验表明,我们的方法可以获得对技术指标优化非常宝贵的股票表征,因为优化后的指标可以产生比原始指标更强的投资信号。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Individualized Indicator for All: Stock-wise Technical Indicator Optimization with Stock Embedding
As one of the most important investing approaches, technical analysis attempts to forecast stock movement by interpreting the inner rules from historic price and volume data. To address the vital noisy nature of financial market, generic technical analysis develops technical trading indicators, as mathematical summarization of historic price and volume data, to form up the foundation for robust and profitable investment strategies. However, an observation reveals that stocks with different properties have different affinities over technical indicators, which discloses a big challenge for the indicator-oriented stock selection and investment. To address this problem, in this paper, we design a Technical Trading Indicator Optimization(TTIO) framework that manages to optimize the original technical indicator by leveraging stock-wise properties. To obtain effective representations of stock properties, we propose a Skip-gram architecture to learn stock embedding inspired by a valuable knowledge repository formed by fund manager's collective investment behaviors. Based on the learned stock representations, TTIO further learns a re-scaling network to optimize the indicator's performance. Extensive experiments on real-world stock market data demonstrate that our method can obtain the very stock representations that are invaluable for technical indicator optimization since the optimized indicators can result in strong investing signals than original ones.
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