美国和日本REITs收益的非对称波动研究

Chasoon Choi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究以富时NAREIT发布的美国equity REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts,房地产投资信托)股价指数和SMTRI发布的日本equity REITs股价指数为样本,通过GJR(1,1)-MA(1)模型,分析信息类型对各指数波动率的影响是否不对称。利用GJR方法考虑股票市场中普遍存在的不对称波动效应。本研究还分析了GARCH-MA(1)模型来检验REITs收益的波动率是否随时间的流动而变化。分析结果表明,在GARCH模型分析中可以估计REITs收益波动率的时间变化。GJR(1,1)-MA(1)模型可以较好地反映与信息相关的房地产投资信托基金股价波动的不对称效应。随着资本市场开放步伐的加快,对投资组合和风险率的信息化管理提出了更高的要求。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Study on the Asymmetric Volatility of the U.S. and Japanese REITs Returns
This study analyzed whether the effects of information type on the volatility of each index are asymmetric through the GJR(1,1)-MA(1) model using the U.S. equity REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) stock price index released by the FTSE NAREIT and the Japanese equity REITs stock price index released by SMTRI. Using the GJR method to consider asymmetric volatility effects which are widely observed in the stock market. This study also analyzed the GARCH-MA(1) model to examine whether the volatility of REITs returns changes depending on the flow of time. As a result of the analysis, it was revealed that time change of the REITs return volatility can be estimated in the GARCH model analysis. The GJR(1,1)-MA(1) model was shown to be a suitable model to capture asymmetric effects affecting the REITs stock price volatility concerned with information. At the time when capital market opening accelerates, the portfolio and risk rate management according to information is required.
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