新货币政策设计中价格与金融稳定的关系:以美国使用TVP-SVAR模型为例

Ömer Yalçinkaya, A. Çelik, Hatıra Sadeghzadeh Emsen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在解释自20世纪90年代以来发展起来的货币政策设计中价格与金融稳定之间的关系,并实证检验美国货币政策设计中价格与金融稳定之间的关系。为此,本研究考察了美国价格与金融稳定之间关系的时变结构,美国的货币政策旨在实现价格稳定、充分就业和适度的长期利率目标,使用1993:12-2020:12期间的TVP-SVAR模型。研究结果表明,在新环境假设的范围内,存在一种互惠关系,在研究期间,美国的价格和金融稳定随着时间的推移而变化。这些结果大致表明,美国有必要根据新环境假说的主张,重新设计货币政策,并考虑货币和金融稳定变量之间随时间推移的对称或不对称关系结构的变化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The relationship between price and financial stability in new monetary policy designs: the case of the US using the TVP-SVAR model
This study aims to explain the relationship between price and financial stability in monetary policy designs that have developed since the 1990s and to empirically examine the relationship between price and financial stability in the monetary policy designs of the US. To this effect, the study examines the time-varying structure of the relationship between price and financial stability in the US, where monetary policies are designed to achieve price stability, full employment and moderate long-term interest rate targets using the TVP-SVAR model for the period 1993:12-2020:12. The results of the study demonstrate the presence of a reciprocal relationship within the scope of the new environment hypothesis, which varies over time between price and financial stability in the US over the study period. These results broadly suggest the necessity of redesigning monetary policies in the US based on the propositions of the new environment hypothesis and considering the varying structure of the relationships, symmetrical or asymmetrical, between monetary and financial stability variables over time.
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