Cynthia Mwende Mwau, P. Weke, Bundi Davis Ntwiga, J. Ottieno
{"title":"利用PH Panjer类(a,b,1)分布估计继发性癌症病例的总损失","authors":"Cynthia Mwende Mwau, P. Weke, Bundi Davis Ntwiga, J. Ottieno","doi":"10.16929/as/2021.3041.194","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This research in-cooperates phase type distributions of Panjer class \\((a,b,1)\\) in estimation of aggregate loss probabilities of secondary cancer. Matrices of the phase type distributions are derived using Chapman-Kolmogorov equation and transition probabilities estimated using modified Kaplan-Meir and consequently the transition intensities and transition probabilities. Stationary probabilities of the Markov chains represents $\\vec{\\gamma}$. Claim amount are modeled using OPPL, TPPL, Pareto, Generalized Pareto and Wei-bull distributions. PH ZT Poisson with Generalized Pareto distribution provided the best fit.","PeriodicalId":430341,"journal":{"name":"Afrika Statistika","volume":"8 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2021-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Estimation of aggregate losses of secondary cancer cases using PH Panjer class (a,b,1) distributions,\",\"authors\":\"Cynthia Mwende Mwau, P. Weke, Bundi Davis Ntwiga, J. Ottieno\",\"doi\":\"10.16929/as/2021.3041.194\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This research in-cooperates phase type distributions of Panjer class \\\\((a,b,1)\\\\) in estimation of aggregate loss probabilities of secondary cancer. Matrices of the phase type distributions are derived using Chapman-Kolmogorov equation and transition probabilities estimated using modified Kaplan-Meir and consequently the transition intensities and transition probabilities. Stationary probabilities of the Markov chains represents $\\\\vec{\\\\gamma}$. Claim amount are modeled using OPPL, TPPL, Pareto, Generalized Pareto and Wei-bull distributions. PH ZT Poisson with Generalized Pareto distribution provided the best fit.\",\"PeriodicalId\":430341,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Afrika Statistika\",\"volume\":\"8 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-10-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Afrika Statistika\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.16929/as/2021.3041.194\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Afrika Statistika","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.16929/as/2021.3041.194","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Estimation of aggregate losses of secondary cancer cases using PH Panjer class (a,b,1) distributions,
This research in-cooperates phase type distributions of Panjer class \((a,b,1)\) in estimation of aggregate loss probabilities of secondary cancer. Matrices of the phase type distributions are derived using Chapman-Kolmogorov equation and transition probabilities estimated using modified Kaplan-Meir and consequently the transition intensities and transition probabilities. Stationary probabilities of the Markov chains represents $\vec{\gamma}$. Claim amount are modeled using OPPL, TPPL, Pareto, Generalized Pareto and Wei-bull distributions. PH ZT Poisson with Generalized Pareto distribution provided the best fit.