Study and Reports on the VAT Gap in the EU-28 Member States: 2017 Final Report

This analysis serves as the Final Report for the DG TAXUD Project 2015/CC/131, “Study and Reports on the VAT Gap in the EU-28 Member States”, which is a follow up to the reports published in 2013, 2014, 2015, and 2016. We present new estimates of the VAT Gap and the Policy Gap for the year 2015, as well as updated estimates for the years 2011?2014. This report provides first estimates of the VAT Gap for Cyprus, using the newly revised national accounts data from the Cyprus Statistical Agency. The VAT Gap is the difference between the amount of VAT revenue actually collected and the theoretical amount that is expected to be collected, given the observed information on the country’s economy and the actual VAT legislation. The amount of VAT total theoretical liability, known as VTTL, is calculated using the so-called “top-down” approach: the national VAT rate structure is imposed on the national accounts expenditure and investment data at the most detailed level possible to derive expected liability