2016年美国总统大选中民粹主义情绪与误解的关系

M. Gatz, J. Darling
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引用次数: 0

摘要

尽管在2016年总统竞选期间,人们普遍认识到民粹主义信息无处不在,但选民的民粹主义信仰尚未得到充分研究,这些态度在接受错误主张方面可能发挥的作用尚不清楚。选举后和一年后的调查结果表明,民粹主义的两个方面——对专家的不信任和民族关系——在特朗普担任总统一年后仍然存在。这些态度与在各种竞选活动和选举后立即发表的声明的准确性上与专家意见不一致有关,也与依赖少数新闻来源有关。民粹主义态度是2016年大选中候选人投票的一个预测因素,甚至超出了白人、农村、低教育人口统计。本研究结果与之前一项关于选前民粹主义的研究结果的对比表明,当民粹主义候选人当选时,民粹主义者对选民权利被剥夺和权力被剥夺的感觉可能会发生变化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Relationship Between Populist Sentiment and Misperceptions in the 2016 Election for U.S. President
Despite widespread recognition of the pervasiveness of populist messages during the 2016 presidential campaign, the populist beliefs of voters are understudied, and what role these attitudes may play in accepting false assertions is unknown. Survey results post-election and one year later indicate that two aspects of populism that characterized voting for Donald Trump — mistrust of experts and national affiliation — persisted one year into the Trump presidency. These attitudes were associated with being misaligned with experts on the accuracy of various campaign and immediate post-election statements, as was reliance on a smaller number of news sources. Populist attitudes were a predictor of candidate vote in the 2016 election, even beyond the white, rural, lower education demographics. A contrasting finding between this study’s results and a prior study’s pre-election populism results suggests that populist feelings of voter disenfranchisement and disempowerment may change when a populist candidate is elected.
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