撒哈拉以南非洲的治理质量与增长绩效:动态面板系统的广义矩量方法

A. Bedemo
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摘要

本文的目的是研究治理质量对撒哈拉以南非洲国家增长绩效的影响。这些数据来自世界银行数据库,涵盖2002年至2018年期间的22个样本国家。采用动力面板系统广义矩量法(SYS-GMM)对模型进行估计。整体结果表明,治理质量对各国的经济增长绩效起着重要作用。总量(综合治理指数)具有显著的正效应,其中综合治理指数的单位改善可使经济增长(GDP)提高约3.4%。分解结果还显示,腐败和政治稳定确实对增长绩效具有负向且统计显著的影响,而法治、话语权和问责制以及政府效率对增长绩效具有显著的正向影响。监管质量指标的影响即使为正,也不显著。本文建议各国政府采取一致和强有力的政策干预措施,以提高治理质量,重点关注问题特别严重的领域,如政治稳定、缺乏适当的法治实施和腐败控制等问题。关键词:治理质量,增长,面板GM,撒哈拉以南非洲,DOI: 10.7176/IAGS/86-01出版日期:2020年9月30日
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Governance Quality and Growth Performance in Sub-Sahara Africa: Dynamic Panel Systems Generalized Methods of Moments
The objective of this paper is to examine the effect of governance quality on growth performance of Sub-Sahara African Countries. The data were obtained from World Bank database over the period 2002-2018 for a sample 22 countries. The method of dynamic panel systems generalized methods of moments (SYS-GMM) was applied to estimate the model. The overall finding reveals that governance quality plays significant role in economic growth performance of the countries. The aggregate (composite governance index) has positive significant effect, where a unit improvement in composite governance index increases economic growth (GDP) by about 3.4 percent. The disaggregated result also reveals that corruption and political stability do have negative and statistically significant effect on growth performance, whereas rule of law, voice and accountability and government effectiveness have positive significant effect on growth. The effect of regulatory quality index even if positive, it is not significant. The paper recommends consistent and strong policy interventions by respective governments in order to improve governance quality emphasizing on areas where the problems are especially serious such as problems of political stability, lack proper implementation of the rule of law and corruption control. Keywords: Governance quality, Growth, Panel GM, Sub-Sahara-Africa, DOI: 10.7176/IAGS/86-01 Publication date: September 30 th 2020
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