基于市场篮子分析和径向基函数网络的小时前风电功率和风速预测

Yingyi Hong, Ching-Ping Wu
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引用次数: 14

摘要

风力发电是当今发展最快的可再生能源之一。然而,由于风能的间歇性特性,电力系统的运行变得具有挑战性。因此,有效的风电预测从经济角度和运行角度来说都是至关重要的。本文提出了一种利用市场篮子分析(MBA)和径向基函数(RBF)神经网络进行短期(提前1小时)风电功率和风速预测的新方法。仿真结果与传统方法进行了比较。通过仿真验证了该方法的适用性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Hour-ahead wind power and speed forecasting using market basket analysis and radial basis function network
Wind power is one of the most rapidly growing renewable energies for power generation nowadays. However, operation of power systems becomes challenging due to intermittent characteristics from wind energies. Consequently, effective wind power forecasting is crucial because of the economic consideration and operation. This paper presents a novel technique for short-term wind power and wind speed forecasting (1 hour ahead) by using market basket analysis (MBA) and the radial basis function (RBF) neural network. Simulation results obtained by the proposed method are compared with those from traditional methods. Applicability of the proposed method is verified through simulations.
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