应用SAPR模型解决新冠肺炎疫情下的望加锡市社会贫困问题

S. Annas, S. Side, Andi Muhammad Ridho Yusuf Sainon Andi Pandjajangi, Nurul Fadhilah Syahrul, Luthfiah Arradiah
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究旨在建立一个针对贫困问题的SAPR模型,对模型进行分析,预测望加锡市的贫困率数量,并确定影响望加锡市因Covid-19而贫困率下降的参数。这项研究是定量的。本研究的人口为望加锡市受COVID-19传播影响的人数,本研究的样本为400人。研究阶段为:建立社会贫困水平的SAPR模型,确定和分析平衡点的稳定性,确定基本再生产数(R0)的值,使用Maple进行模型模拟。结果表明,SAPR的数学模型是一个非线性的微分方程组,可以作为研究贫困问题的参考模型;结果还表明,对人口社会贫困水平的分析发现了两个平衡点,即贫困人口的自由平衡点和贫困人口的自由平衡点;平衡点的稳定性是自由差和差的;基本再生产数R0 = 0.426表明社会人口的贫困水平虽然有所增加,但仍在可控范围内。通过模型模拟发现,政府企业资金援助形式的参数可以降低望加锡市因新冠肺炎疫情而导致的贫困率。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Using SAPR Model for Solution of Social Poverty Problem Due to Covid-19 in Makassar City
This study aims to build an SAPR model on the problem of poverty, analyze the model, predict the number of poverty rates in the city of Makassar, and determine the parameters that affect the decrease in the number of poverty rates due to Covid-19 in the city of Makassar. This research is quantitative. The population of this study is the number of people in Makassar City who are affected by the spread of COVID-19, while the sample of this study is 400 people. The research stages are: Building the SAPR model on the level of social poverty, determining and analyzing the stability of the equilibrium point, determining the value of the basic reproduction number (R0), conducting model simulations using Maple. The results shown that the mathematical model of SAPR which is a non-linear system of differential equations can be a reference model for the problem of poverty; The results also shown that the analysis of the social poverty level of the population finds two equilibrium points, namely the free equilibrium point for the poor and the poor; the stability of the equilibrium point is free-poor and poor; The basic reproduction number R0 = 0.426 indicates that the poverty level of the social population can be controlled even though it has increased. Based on the model simulation, it was found that the parameter in the form of business funding assistance from the government could reduce the poverty rate due to the Covid-19 pandemic in Makassar city.
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