康德拉季耶夫周期与货币体系

G. Lechner
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文讨论了康德拉季耶夫周期与全球货币体系变化之间是否存在关系的问题。我们使用著名的Kondratieff科学家Carlota Perez的模型来检验这种关系。我们观察到,在第三、第四和第五个康德拉季耶夫周期开始时,货币体系发生了重大变化。在第三次康德拉季耶夫(大约1875年)开始时,世界上大多数重要的国家都接受了金本位制作为新的货币秩序。这篇论文的另一个重要发现是,在货币体系发生转变的15到20年前,曾有过一场关于可能发生变化的学术讨论,因为当前的体系存在缺点。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Kondratieff Cycles and the Monetary System
This paper deals with the question of whether there is a relationship between Kondratieff cycles and changes in the global monetary system. We use the model of the well-known Kondratieff scientist Carlota Perez to examine this relationship. It has been observed that at the beginning of the third, fourth, and fifth Kondratieff cycles, a significant change in the monetary system occurred. At the beginning of the third Kondratieff (approximately 1875), most important nations in the world accepted the Gold Standard as the new monetary order. Another key finding of the paper is that 15 to 20 years before a shift in the monetary system, there was an academic discussion about a possible change, because the current system had disadvantages.
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