利用故障和真实天气数据的风力发电机可用性的马尔可夫建模

Theodoros V. Tzioiutzias, A. Platis, V. Koutras
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引用次数: 3

摘要

风电场的维护和可靠性问题对于海上和陆上建设都是一个非常重要的问题。应用于风力涡轮机的技术正在迅速发展,风力发电场在世界范围内迅速扩张。欧盟国家设定了到2020年通过风能发电的高目标。对于风电场来说,维护是非常重要的一部分,因为我们可以防止风力涡轮机(WTs)的重要部件发生非常重要的故障甚至灾难,这些故障可能花费数十万欧元并导致长时间的停机时间。采用状态监测方法是为了防止高成本的损坏,节省维护费用,提高系统的可用性。此外,天气现象对系统的运行和维护都起着非常重要的作用。例如,在刮风或恶劣天气的情况下,我们无法进行维护和维修,因此停机时间增加。在海上风电场中,天气参数更为重要,因为其可达性较差且成本较高。利用马尔可夫链,我们建立了一个模型来描述风力涡轮机的可用性,考虑风力涡轮机的风力强度和运行条件或停机时间。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Markov Modeling of the Availability of a Wind Turbine Utilizing Failures and Real Weather Data
The maintenance and reliability issues of the wind farms are a matter of high importance both for the offshore and onshore constructions. The technology applied in the wind turbines is fast growing and the wind farms expand rapidly all over the world. European Union countries have set high targets for electricity production through wind till 2020. The maintenance is very important part for a wind farm because we can prevent very important faults even disasters in vital parts of the Wind Turbines (WTs) that may cost hundred thousand euros and lead to long downtimes. Condition monitoring methods are applied in order to prevent high cost damages, save money from maintenance and increase the availability of the system. Moreover, the weather phenomena play a very important role for both the operation and maintenance of the system. For example, in the case of wind or bad weather we cannot have access for maintenance and repair, as a result the downtime increases. The weather parameter is more important in offshore wind farm because the accessibility is more difficult and costly. Using Markov chains we develop a model describing the availability of a wind turbine considering the wind intensity and the operational condition or the downtime of a wind turbine.
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