世界动量效应的证据与解释:文献综述

Yueqi Li, Xianzi Wang, Zhensheng Zeng
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引用次数: 1

摘要

动量效应是股票市场中的一种普遍现象。本文在回顾国内外文献的基础上,探讨动量效应存在的证据及其合理解释。在此基础上,对动量效应的证据进行了总结和分类。得出动量效应在不同国家和地区存在差异的结论。具体来说,非亚洲国家出现这种现象的时间尺度明显长于亚洲国家。就动量效应的解释而言,现有理论可分为基于风险-收益框架的传统金融学、从前景理论拓展而来的行为金融学以及相关的非行为金融学三种类型。我们的研究结果表明,传统金融基于风险的分析不能完全解释动量效应。在行为金融学框架下,以锚定效应和倾向偏差为特征的正反馈模式、过度反应和反应不足将从不同角度更合理地解释动量效应。在现实中,市场状态和其他条件外生因素(如非行为)部门有时是有意义的。这些结果生动地展现了动量效应,为研究人员深入了解股票市场的核心提供了启示。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Evidences and Explanations for the Momentum Effect in the World: A Literature Review
Momentum effect is a common phenomenon in stock markets. This study reviews a few literatures to investigate the evidences of momentum effect and its rational explanations in the stock markets worldwide. Based on our analysis, evidences for momentum effect are summarized and categorized. It is concluded that momentum effect differs in different countries and regions. Specifically, time scales for the phenomenon in non-Asian countries are significantly longer than those in Asian countries. In terms of explanations for the momentum effect, existing theories can be divided into three genres: traditional finance based on a risk-return framework, behavioral finance stretched from prospect theory, as well as non-behavioral finance correlated. Our findings show that risk-based analysis in traditional finance cannot fully explain the momentum effect. Positive feedback mode, overreaction and underreaction characterized by anchoring effect and disposition biases will offer much more reasonable explanations for the momentum effect in different perspectives under behavioral finance framework. In reality, market states and other conditional exogenous factors (e.g., non-behavioral) sector sometimes make sense. These results make a vivid glimpse of momentum effect and shed light for researchers to get a profound insight into the core of stock market.
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