建模和分析电子sim在印度尼西亚

A. S. Arifin, Andrianus Pradipta, D. Gunawan
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引用次数: 2

摘要

gsm协会(GSMA)制定了一项与嵌入式用户身份模块(e-SIM)技术相关的新标准。这些技术的应用旨在支持机器对机器(M2M)和物联网(IoT)等新服务的需求。目前,苹果和三星等几家智能手机制造商开始在其产品中实施该技术。由于网络的范围和质量,以及客户转换服务的困难,印尼的手机服务供应分布并不均匀。基于e-SIM的潜在好处,我们从用户数量、每用户平均收入(ARPU)和成本生产方面调查了e-SIM的实施。我们使用s曲线模型预测订户数量,而ARPU和成本生产使用二次模型。我们显示,如果印尼不实施电子sim卡,2015-2020年期间只有1900万新用户。然而,如果印尼在同一时期实施电子sim卡,新用户数量将增加一倍。此外,随着印度尼西亚实施e-SIM,由于e-SIM使物联网设备成为可能,ARPU估计会很大。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Modelling and analysis e-SIM in Indonesia
Group Special Mobile Association (GSMA) has set a new standard related to embedded Subscriber Identity Module (e-SIM) technology. The application of these technologies aim to support the needs of new services such as Machine to Machine (M2M) and Internet of Things (IoT). Currently several smart phone manufacturers such as Apple and Samsung start to implement the technology to their products. Provisioning of cellular services in Indonesia are not evenly distributed, both the scope and quality of its network and the difficulty when customers switch services. Based on the potential benefit of e-SIM, we investigate implementation e-SIM in terms of the number of subscriber, Average Revenue per User (ARPU), and cost production. We forecast the number of subscriber using S-curve model, while ARPU and cost production using Quadratic models. We show there are only 19 million new subscribers between 2015–2020 if Indonesia do not implement e-SIM. However, the new subscribers are being double if Indonesia implement e-SIM in the same period. Moreover, ARPU are estimated being large as Indonesia implement e-SIM because e-SIM enables IoT devices.
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