尼泊尔拉斯特拉银行的宏观建模实践

Nepal Rastra Bank Research Department
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摘要

本文简要介绍了尼泊尔的宏观经济模型。它还实证地研究了宏观经济变量的部门模型,包括通货膨胀、货币总量、财政和外部部门,政策制定者在货币政策制定过程中关注这些变量。样本期为1975 - 2016年。本文为感兴趣的变量确定的数据生成过程(DGP)在理论和经验上都满足必要的标准。这些模型有助于从部门角度理解总体关系,并为制定货币和其他宏观经济政策决策进行简单预测。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Macro Modeling Practices at Nepal Rastra Bank
This paper presents a brief survey of macroeconomic models of Nepal. It also empirically investigates sectoral models of macroeconomic variables including inflation, monetary aggregate, fiscal and external sector upon which policymakers' concern rests during the process of monetary policy formulation. Sample period of 1975 to 2016 is used for the estimation. The Data Generating Process (DGP) identified in this paper for the variables of interest meets necessary criteria both from theory and empirical ground. These models are useful to understand general relationship from sectoral perspective and to carryout simple forecasting for making monetary and other macroeconomic policy decisions.
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