新闻与情绪:货币政策公告对发达国家和发展中国家市场表现的影响

Jazib Ansari, D. Siddiqui
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文研究了货币政策公告对20个国家(10个发达国家和10个发展中国家)股市表现的影响。以汇率变化和债券收益率变化为控制因素。每日基础面板数据以每日频率使用五(5)年(2014 - 2018)。使用回归模型和面板最小二乘模型估计这些选定的自变量对股票市场指数的影响。货币政策数据以三种不同的滞后运行,即滞后(0),滞后(-1,-2,-3,-4)和滞后(1,2,3,4),以检查货币政策影响在公告日期前后的可用性,而其他变量也在单一滞后上运行。可以看出,发达国家的股市与货币政策公告有显著的关系,而发展中国家的货币政策公告与股市指数的关系不显著。此外,汇率似乎对发展中国家和发达国家的市场都有重大影响,而债券收益率似乎只对发展中国家的股票市场有重大影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
News Vs Sentiments: Impact of Monetary Policy Announcement on Developed and Developing Countries’ Market Performance
This paper investigates the impact of monetary policy announcements on the performance of the stock market in twenty countries (10 Developed and 10 developing). Exchange rate changes and changes in bond yield were taken as control. Daily basis Panel data was used with daily frequency for five (5) years (2014 – 2018). An impact of these selected independent variables on the stock market index is estimated using the regression model and Panel Least Square model. Monetary policy data has been run in three different lags i.e. lag (0), lag (-1, -2, -3, -4), and lag (1, 2, 3, 4) in order to check the availability of monetary policy impact in pre and post announcement dates also, while the other variables run on a single lag. It is observed that the stock market of developed countries has a significant relation with monetary policy announcements, however, these announcements showed an insignificance relation with the stock market index in the case of developing countries. Moreover, exchange rates seem to have a significant effect on markets of both developing and developed countries, whereas bond yield seems to have a significant effect on the stock market of Developing countries only.
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