模糊性下的群体决策:趋同到中立

Steffen Keck, Enrico Diecidue, D. Budescu
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引用次数: 68

摘要

本文主要研究模糊情况下的决策问题。在一项实验室实验中,参与者在三种不同的环境下做出决定:(a)单独做出决定,(b)与另外两个人讨论决定后单独做出决定,(c)三人一组。我们发现,群体比个人更容易做出模糊中立的决策,而个人在与他人讨论决策后会做出更多模糊中立的决策。在小组中以及小组讨论后,这种向更高的模糊性中立的转变与模糊性厌恶和寻求的比率降低有关。我们认为,这些结果可能是由有效的、有说服力的群体沟通所驱动的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Group Decisions Under Ambiguity: Convergence to Neutrality
This paper focuses on decisions under ambiguity. Participants in a laboratory experiment made decisions in three different settings: (a) individually, (b) individually after discussing the decisions with two others, and (c) in groups of three. We show that groups are more likely to make ambiguity-neutral decisions than individuals, and that individuals make more ambiguity-neutral decisions after discussing the decisions with others. This shift toward higher ambiguity neutrality in groups and after a group discussion is associated with a reduction in the rates of both ambiguity aversion and ambiguity seeking. We suggest that the results might be driven by effective and persuasive communication that takes place in groups.
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