{"title":"印度生育率下降:未来主义视角","authors":"P. S. Nair, S. Padmadas","doi":"10.12927/WHP..17511","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Fertility projections based on log linear analysis suggest that India will attain replacement level fertility by 2019, given the past trends during 1981-94 continue. About 56 percent reduction in the current fertility levels is required to take India to replacement level fertility. The proximate determinants play an important role in the continuing decline in fertility in both the low and high fertility states. The implications of such an observed fertility decline in terms of population momentum are further discussed.","PeriodicalId":405004,"journal":{"name":"World health and population","volume":"31 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Fertility decline in India: a futuristic perspective\",\"authors\":\"P. S. Nair, S. Padmadas\",\"doi\":\"10.12927/WHP..17511\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Fertility projections based on log linear analysis suggest that India will attain replacement level fertility by 2019, given the past trends during 1981-94 continue. About 56 percent reduction in the current fertility levels is required to take India to replacement level fertility. The proximate determinants play an important role in the continuing decline in fertility in both the low and high fertility states. The implications of such an observed fertility decline in terms of population momentum are further discussed.\",\"PeriodicalId\":405004,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"World health and population\",\"volume\":\"31 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"1900-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"World health and population\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.12927/WHP..17511\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"World health and population","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.12927/WHP..17511","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Fertility decline in India: a futuristic perspective
Fertility projections based on log linear analysis suggest that India will attain replacement level fertility by 2019, given the past trends during 1981-94 continue. About 56 percent reduction in the current fertility levels is required to take India to replacement level fertility. The proximate determinants play an important role in the continuing decline in fertility in both the low and high fertility states. The implications of such an observed fertility decline in terms of population momentum are further discussed.
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