为什么采用通胀目标制?

Y. Kurihara
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引用次数: 0

摘要

自20世纪90年代初以来,通货膨胀目标制已经在许多国家实施,并且国家数量迅速增加。采用IT的结果已经讨论过了,然而,采用IT的动机并没有得到充分的检验。本研究着重从实证的角度来探讨这一问题。结果明显分为两类国家。在发达国家,预算/GDP比率、央行可信度、汇率稳定性和经济开放度是采用IT的决定性因素,但有趣的是,通货膨胀本身并没有起到任何采用IT的作用。另一方面,只有通货膨胀才是发展中国家采用IT的决定性因素。其他因素,在发达国家是决定性因素,对引进IT没有任何影响。此外,当经济开放度很高时,各国不愿限制政策的范围。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Why is inflation targeting adopted?
Since the early 1990s, inflation targeting (IT) has been conducted in many countries and the number of the countries has been increasing rapidly. The outcomes of adopting IT has been discussed, however, the incentives of adopting IT is not fully examined. This study focuses on this issue empirically. The results are clearly divided into two types of countries. In developed countries, budget/GDP ratio, central bank credibility, exchange rate stability, and openness of the economy are deterministic elements of adopting IT, however interestingly, inflation itself does not play any roles of adopting IT. On the other hand, only inflation is the deterministic element of adopting IT in developing countries. Other elements, that are deterministic elements in developed countries, do not any effects on introducing IT. Moreover, countries would not like to limit the scope of policies when the economy’s openness is high.
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