对耦合关键基础设施系统中级联故障研究的工具和方法进行批判性评估

Yushi Chen, J. Milanović
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引用次数: 5

摘要

关键基础设施的集成有助于增加其相互依赖性的复杂性和异质性,这导致更详细的分析过程,强调相互作用的某个方面,如级联效应,而不是总体系统建模和模拟。当自然灾害和故意攻击等外部干扰发生时,诱发级联故障比以往更有可能大规模发生。它们的传播路径和随时间变化的行为在很大程度上不为当地研究人员所知,灾后后果很难量化。本文对互连系统中级联故障建模的现有方法进行了批判性评价。本文首先阐述了最广泛使用的方法的一般解释,重点介绍了它们的优点和缺点,并旨在为耦合电网和电信系统的级联故障研究选择适当的建模和仿真方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Critical appraisal of tools and methodologies for studies of cascading failures in coupled critical infrastructure systems
Integration of critical infrastructures contributes to an increasing complexity and heterogeneity of their interdependencies, which results in a more detailed analysis process with emphasis on a certain aspect of the interactions such as cascading effects rather than the overarching system modelling and simulation. When external disturbances like natural disasters and intentional attacks take place, induced cascading failures are more likely to happen in large scale than they used to be. Their propagation paths and time-dependent behaviours are largely unknown to the area researchers and post-disaster consequences are rather difficult to quantify. This paper is presenting critical appraisal of existing methodologies for modelling cascading failures in interconnected systems. General explanations of the most widely used methodologies are firstly illustrated with the emphasis on their advantages and disadvantages and with the aim of choosing appropriate modelling and simulation methods for study of cascading failures in coupled electric power grids and telecommunication systems.
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