不确定条件下成本-量-利分析集成在利润规划中的应用

A. Rahim
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在实际规划中使用成本-数量-利润分析常常受到限制,因为在对已知价格和成本的假设不成立时,无法适当地将不确定性纳入分析。在本研究中,我们使用当前可用的分析软件(MAPLE)来证明不确定性可以在实践中纳入成本-产量-利润分析和计划。我们在我们的例子中表明,预期销售价格和可变成本变化对预期盈亏平衡销售水平的影响大于销售价格和可变成本标准差的影响。特别是,预期销售价格的下降会导致预期盈亏平衡数量的急剧下降。相比之下,当销售价格或可变成本的标准差增加时,只观察到盈亏平衡数量的成比例增加。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Integration of Cost Volume Profit Analysis under Uncertainty in Profit Planning: A Current Application
Use of cost-volume-profit analysis for actual planning is often limited by an inability to properly incorporate uncertainty in the analysis when assumptions about known price and costs do not hold. We use currently available analysis software (MAPLE) in this study to demonstrate that uncertainty can be incorporated in Cost-Volume-Profit analysis and planning in practice. We show in our examples that expected selling price and variable cost changes have greater influence on expected breakeven sales levels than the impact of the standard deviations of selling price and variable cost. In particular, decreases in the expected selling price are shown to lead to significantly sharp declines in the expected breakeven quantity. By contrast, when the standard deviations of selling price or variable costs increase, only proportionate increases in the breakeven quantity are observed.
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