基于k均值聚类算法和时间序列预测的森林火灾建模与分析

Yuanwei Li, Sikui Zhang, Guoyi Fu
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引用次数: 1

摘要

自2019年9月以来,澳大利亚东南部几个州发生了森林火灾事件,形成了数百个火点。许多火灾事件猖獗,烟雾弥漫,危害极大。本文的主题是如何使用特定的无人机来快速监测和消除维多利亚州的森林火灾事件。首先,采用K-means聚类算法将火点数据集划分为4个分区。其次,建立多目标规划算法,利用蚁群算法求解无人机遍历每个分区中所有5个采样点的最短距离,得到SSA无人机和Radio Repeater无人机的最低采购成本方案。并建立时间序列预测算法,预测未来10年的火灾事件数量,得到相应的每年无人机采购成本的增长情况。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Forest fire modeling and analysis based on K-means clustering algorithm and time series forecasting
Since September 2019, forest fire incidents have broken out in several states in southeastern Australia, forming hundreds of fire points. Many fire incidents are rampant, smoky, and harmful. The theme of this paper is how to use specific drones to quickly monitor and eliminate forest fire incidents in Victoria. First, the K-means clustering algorithm is used to divide the fire point dataset into 4 partitions. Next, we model a multi-objective programming algorithm and solve the shortest distance for the drone to traverse all fire sample points in each partition by the ant colony algorithm, and get the lowest cost purchase plan for SSA drones and Radio Repeater drones. And we model a time series forecasting algorithm for predicting the number of fire incidents in the next 10 years and obtain the increasing cost of purchasing drones each year correspondingly.
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