利用预测回归方法预测GDP指标对森林覆盖的影响

P. Kamat, K. Kadam, Anuj Mathur
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着气候变化的挑战日益严峻,物种灭绝率达到历史最高水平,水资源短缺,失业率上升和不平等现象日益严重,保护森林的重要性从未像现在这样重要。相反,我们看到,由于经济的发展,世界上的森林覆盖率正面临越来越大的压力。在这篇研究论文中,作者使用计算机分析来清晰地描绘了南美洲三个不同国家——秘鲁、厄瓜多尔和玻利维亚——的经济增长(由GDP表示)与原始森林覆盖之间的关系。作者分析了国内生产总值(GDP)对原始森林覆盖的影响程度,并进一步预测了三个研究国家到2030年和2050年的原始森林价值。通过研究,建立了三个国家的GDP与原始森林覆盖变化之间的强相关性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Predicting the impact of the GDP measure on the forest cover using forecasting and regression
With the rising challenges of climate change, highest ever extinction rates, scarcity of resources of water, increasing unemployment and inequality, the importance of conservation of forests has never been more critical. On the contrary, we see that the forest cover in the world is under increasing pressure because of economic development. In this research paper, the authors have used computer analytics to get a clear picture of the relationship between the economic growth (indicated by the GDP) and the primary forest cover in three different countries in South America – Peru, Ecuador and Bolivia. The authors have analysed to what extent the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) affects the primary forest cover and further predict the values of the primary forest up to 2030 and 2050 in the three countries of study. Through the study, the authors establish a strong relationship between the GDP and the change in the primary forest cover of the three countries.
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