B. Vonk, Madeleine Gibescu, E. Veldman, J. Slootweg
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Automatic PV production profile generation using geographic and historical weather data
This paper introduces on a probabilistic model to automatically generate photovoltaic production profiles for a given geographical region and future scenarios for deployment of renewable energy resources. The model for these profiles uses local properties of buildings, demographic statistics, and historical weather data. Sub-models are calibrated with actual PV data from a smart grid pilot site in the Netherlands and literature based scenarios. It is shown that the model performs adequately and the results are compared with historical data of photovoltaic installations.
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