2019冠状病毒病大流行和干旱对罗马尼亚主要动物源性农产品价格的影响

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引用次数: 0

摘要

在全球范围内,由冠状病毒引起的大流行导致了业务开展方式的变化。在经济危机敲响大门的背景下,世界各国正试图采取最严厉的措施,减轻这一流行病的影响。需要保护的一个经济部门是农业,因为它为每个人提供了急需的食物。农民的作用在这个等式中是非常重要的,因为他们提供了必要的粮食,稳定了可能更快耗尽的粮食储备。在本文中,我们希望确定干旱和COVID大流行的重叠可能对罗马尼亚动物源性农产品的价格产生的影响。在此背景下,将上年上半年的价格水平与今年上半年的价格水平进行比较,以便能够从统计的角度确定是否存在显著差异。研究发现,在分析的6种产品中,有5种产品2020年上半年的价格高于2019年上半年。根据这一分析,确定了价格水平与降水量之间的相关系数,随后确定了价格水平与市场需求之间的相关系数,后者受到大流行的影响。研究发现,这两种现象间接影响了动物源性农产品的价格。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
THE IMPACT OF THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC AND THE DROUGHT ON THE PRICES OF THE MAIN AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS OF ANIMAL ORIGIN IN ROMANIA
Globally, the pandemic installed by the coronavirus has led to a change in the way business is conducted. In the context of the economic crisis knocking on the door, the states of the world are trying to take the most severe measures to mitigate the effects of this epidemic. One sector of the economy that needs to be protected is agriculture, because it provides the much-needed food for everyone. The role of farmers is very important in this equation, as they provide the necessary food stabilizing stocks of food that can be depleted faster. In this paper we want to determine the possible impact that the drought and the overlap of the COVID pandemic on it may have on the prices of agricultural products of animal origin in Romania. In this context, the level of prices in the first half of the previous year was compared with the level of prices in the first half of the current year, in order to be able to determine, from a statistical point of view, whether there are significant differences. It was found that for five of the six products analyzed, the prices in the first half of 2020 were higher than in the first half of 2019. Following this analysis, the correlation coefficients between the price level and the precipitation level were determined, and subsequently between the price level and the market demand, the latter influenced by the pandemic. It was found that both phenomena indirectly influenced the prices of agricultural products of animal origin.
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