伊朗新婚夫妇的无子女和独生子女意愿

Milad Bagi
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引用次数: 1

摘要

摘要目的:在低生育率社会中,人们的生育意愿意识是预测未来生育行为的关键因素之一。本研究旨在调查伊朗新婚夫妇的生育意愿。方法:采用二次分析技术对2016-2017年伊朗全国婚姻调查数据进行分析。样本包括8977名省会城市的人。结果:调查结果显示,2.1%的人不想要孩子,16.9%的人想要一个孩子。不想要孩子的最重要原因是孩子的经济成本和对生孩子缺乏兴趣。种族是主要决定因素之一。俾路支人和阿拉伯人往往比其他民族有更多的孩子,而吉拉基斯人最倾向于没有孩子或只生一个孩子。此外,教育、参加宗教仪式、就业状况和宗教对生育意愿有显著影响。结论:尽管无子女意愿较低,但仍有五分之一的人倾向于生育两个以下的孩子。鉴于高等教育的扩大和经济挑战,这可能会对未来的生育率产生负面影响。因此,政策制定者应优先考虑和解政策和儿童保育
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Childlessness and one-child intentions among recently married couples in Iran
79 Abstract Objective (s): Awareness of people's childbearing intentions, which play a key role in predicting future fertility behaviors, is one of the most crucial topics in low-fertility societies. This study aimed to investigate the fertility intentions of recently married couples in Iran. Methods: The data of the National Marriage Survey in Iran (2016-2017) were analyzed using secondary analyses technique. The sample consisted of 8,977 people in provincial capitals. Results: The results revealed that 2.1% of people intend to remain childless and 16.9% want to have one-child. The most important reasons for childlessness intention were the financial costs of the children and the lack of interest in having a child. Ethnicity was one of the main determinants. The Baluchs and the Arabs tend to have more children than the other ethnic groups, and the Gilakis were most inclined to be childless or have one-child. Furthermore, education, participation in religious rites, employment status and religion have a significant effect on fertility intentions. Conclusion: Although the childlessness intention was low, one-fifth of people tend to have less than two children. This could affect future fertility rates negatively given the expansion of higher education and the economic challenges. Thus, policymakers should prioritize reconciliation policies and child care
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