预测城市高速公路短期交通状况的通用框架

Seif-Eddine Attoui, Maroua Meddeb
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着互联城市和智慧城市的出现,预测交通状况的需求导致了各种预测算法的发展。尽管进行了各种各样的研究,但模型和技术的选择在很大程度上取决于用例、公路基础设施以及提供的数据集。这项研究是一项计划的一部分,该计划旨在设计一套智能交通系统(ITS),专门供公路管理人员管理交通。该系统需要提供连续的、实时的短期交通拥堵预测,以便做出相应的决策。在本文中,我们提出了一个通用框架,首先,执行不同的数据预处理技术以提高数据质量,其次,提供实时多视界预测。我们的框架使用不同的模型,结合了机器学习和深度学习算法。实验结果证实了数据预处理步骤的必要性,特别是在高动态数据和异构移动环境下。此外,我们的方法在一个真实的案例研究中进行了测试,并显示出非常令人鼓舞的结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A generic framework for forecasting short-term traffic conditions on urban highways
With the emergence of Connected and Smart Cities, the need to predict traffic conditions has led to the development of a large variety of forecasting algorithms. In spite of various research efforts, the choice of models and techniques strongly depends on the use case, the highway infrastructure as well as the provided dataset. This study is launched as part of a project which aims to design an Intelligent Transport System (ITS) dedicated to highway supervisors to regulate traffic. This system needs to be supplied by continuous, real-time forecasting of short-term traffic congestions in order to make decisions accordingly. In this paper, we propose a general framework that, first, performs different data preprocessing techniques to improve data quality, and second, provides real-time multiple horizons predictions. Our framework uses different models combining Machine learning and Deep learning algorithms. Experiments results confirmed the necessity of the data preprocessing step, especially with highly dynamic data and heterogeneous mobility contexts. In addition, our methodology is tested in a real case study and shows very encouraging results.
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